Net present value and Recession: Difference between pages

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imported>Doug Williamson
(Colour change of example headers)
 
imported>Doug Williamson
(Mend link.)
 
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(NPV).
1.
1.


The total [[present value]] of all of the cash flows of a proposal - both positive and negative.
Any extended time period during which gross domestic product (GDP) decreases from one measurement period to the next.
 
For example, the expected future cash inflows from an investment project LESS the initial capital investment outflow at Time 0.
 
 
<span style="color:#4B0082">'''Example'''</span>
 
A project requires an investment today of $100m, with $120m being receivable one year from now.
 
The cost of capital (r) is 10% per annum.
 
 
The NPV of the project is calculated as follows:
 
 
PV of Time 0 outflow $100m
 
= $(100m)
 
 
PV of Time 1 inflow $120m
 
= $120m x 1.1<sup>-1</sup>
 
= $109.09m
 
 
NPV = -$100m +$109.09m
 
= +$9.09m
 




2.
2.


In simple ''Net Present Value analysis'' the decision rule would be that:
A period of two successive quarters, or more, in which GDP decreases from the previous quarter.


(1) All positive NPV opportunities should be accepted.


(2) All negative NPV opportunities should be rejected. 
== See also ==
 
* [[Deflation]]
 
* [[Depression]]
So the project in the example above would be accepted - on this basis - because its NPV is positive, namely +$9.09m.
* [[Double dip]]
 
* [[Great Depression]]
 
* [[Great Recession]]
However this assumes the unlimited availability of further capital with no increase in the cost of capital.
* [[Gross domestic product]]
 
* [[Inflation]]
A more refined decision rule is that:
* [[Reflation]]
* [[Softness]]
* [[Trumponomics]]


(1) All negative NPV opportunities should still be rejected; while
[[Category:The_business_context]]
 
[[Category:Financial_products_and_markets]]
(2) All positive NPV opportunities remain eligible for further consideration (rather than automatically being accepted).
 
 
== See also ==
* [[Capital rationing]]
* [[CertFMM]]
* [[Discounted cash flow]]
* [[Economic value added]]
* [[Internal rate of return]]
* [[Investment appraisal]]
* [[Present value]]
* [[Residual theory]]
* [[Weighted average cost of capital]]

Revision as of 01:34, 22 April 2020

1.

Any extended time period during which gross domestic product (GDP) decreases from one measurement period to the next.


2.

A period of two successive quarters, or more, in which GDP decreases from the previous quarter.


See also