EU 27 and Expectations theory: Difference between pages

From ACT Wiki
(Difference between pages)
Jump to navigationJump to search
imported>Doug Williamson
(Add 'EU-27' version. Source: The Treasurer, April 2017, p11.)
 
imported>Doug Williamson
m (Add category.)
 
Line 1: Line 1:
The 'EU 27' refers to the 27 member states of the European Union (EU) which exclude the United Kingdom (UK).
Expectations theory states that the best measure of the market's average expectation of the outturn spot foreign exchange rate at a given future date is the current market forward rate for the same maturity.


The term arises from the UK's 'Brexit' decision to leave the EU.
Expectations theory also applies in the interest rate market, and indeed in any market where forward prices are quoted.




It is sometimes written 'EU-27'.
So for example in the interest rate market, expectations theory suggests that the current market forward interest rate is the best measure of the average market expectation of the outturn spot interest rate at the given future date.




== See also ==
== See also ==
* [[Brexit]]
* [[Four way equivalence model]]
* [[European Union]]
* [[Outturn]]
__NOTOC__
* [[Rational expectations]]
* [[Yield curve]]
 
[[Category:The_business_context]]
[[Category:Manage_risks]]

Revision as of 13:25, 9 June 2020

Expectations theory states that the best measure of the market's average expectation of the outturn spot foreign exchange rate at a given future date is the current market forward rate for the same maturity.

Expectations theory also applies in the interest rate market, and indeed in any market where forward prices are quoted.


So for example in the interest rate market, expectations theory suggests that the current market forward interest rate is the best measure of the average market expectation of the outturn spot interest rate at the given future date.


See also