Green swan and Reducing balance: Difference between pages

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''Risk management - systemic risk - climate-related risks''.
1.


A green swan is a potentially extremely financially disruptive event leading to a systemic financial crisis, triggered by a climate-related event.
A basis of allocating costs or allowances across successive time periods by applying a consistent periodic percentage charge to - for example - the reducing net book value of a fixed asset.


The term was popularised by Patrick Bolton, Morgan Després, Luiz Awazu Pereira da Silva, Frédéric Samama and Romain Svartzman in their 2020 book "The green swan - Central banking and financial stability in the age of climate change".


'''Example'''


== See also ==
A fixed asset has a cost of $12m,
* [[Black swan]]
 
* [[COVID-19]]
to be depreciated on a reducing balance basis at a rate of 40% per year.
* [[Fat tail]]
 
* [[Green swan]]
 
* [[Guide to risk management]]
The depreciation charge for Year 1 would be:
* [[Heuristic]]
 
* [[Horizon scanning]]
= $12m x 40%
* [[Moody's]]
 
* [[Optimal capital structure]]
= $4.8m.
* [[Optimisation]]
 
* [[Portfolio analysis]]
 
* [[Probability]]
The net book value at the end of Year 1 (and the start of Year 2):
* [[Redundancy]]
 
* [[Resilience]]
= 12 - 4.8
* [[Risk]]
 
* [[Stress test]]
= $9.2m.
* [[Unicorn]]
 
* [[Weighted average cost of capital]]
 
The depreciation charge for Year 2:
 
= $9.2m x 40%
 
= $3.68m.
 
 
The net book value at the end of Year 2 (and the start of Year 3):
 
= 9.2 - 3.68
 
= $5.52m.
 
 
And so on.
 
Using a reducing balance basis of depreciation, the net book value never falls to zero (unless the asset is disposed of).
 
 
2.
 
''UK tax.''
 
UK Writing Down tax Allowances are normally available to be claimed on a reducing balance basis.




== External link ==
== See also ==
*[https://www.bis.org/publ/othp31.htm The green swan - Central banking and financial stability in the age of climate change]
* [[Depreciation]]
* [[Straight line]]
* [[Sum of the digits]]
* [[Writing down allowance]]


[[Category:The_business_context]]
[[Category:Accounting,_tax_and_regulation]]
[[Category:Identify_and_assess_risks]]
[[Category:Manage_risks]]
[[Category:Risk_frameworks]]
[[Category:Risk_reporting]]
[[Category:Financial_products_and_markets]]

Revision as of 12:35, 18 March 2015

1.

A basis of allocating costs or allowances across successive time periods by applying a consistent periodic percentage charge to - for example - the reducing net book value of a fixed asset.


Example

A fixed asset has a cost of $12m,

to be depreciated on a reducing balance basis at a rate of 40% per year.


The depreciation charge for Year 1 would be:

= $12m x 40%

= $4.8m.


The net book value at the end of Year 1 (and the start of Year 2):

= 12 - 4.8

= $9.2m.


The depreciation charge for Year 2:

= $9.2m x 40%

= $3.68m.


The net book value at the end of Year 2 (and the start of Year 3):

= 9.2 - 3.68

= $5.52m.


And so on.

Using a reducing balance basis of depreciation, the net book value never falls to zero (unless the asset is disposed of).


2.

UK tax.

UK Writing Down tax Allowances are normally available to be claimed on a reducing balance basis.


See also