Contango and Procyclical: Difference between pages

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In futures or options trading, a market in which longer-term contracts have a higher market price than near-term contracts.  
1.
The premium attached to longer maturities is a normal condition of markets, reflecting the cost of carry of the commodity (for the contracted future delivery). The further into the future the final maturity date, the higher the price of the contract.  
 
That usual pricing relationship is known as contango.  
In [[business cycle]] theory and finance, any economic quantity that is positively correlated with the overall state of the economy.  
 
Any quantity that tends to increase when the overall economy is growing.
 
 
2.
 
The additional amplification effects resulting from the structure of the financial system.
 
The performance of banks tends to be procyclical. They thrive when the economy is strong, and suffer disproportionately when the general economy is weak.
 
This is a problem, because it can amplify financial instability.
 
Basel III sought to address the problem of the procyclicality of the largest banks' capital, by requiring them to hold countercyclical capital buffers.
 
 
The opposite of procyclical is ''countercyclical''.


If - unusually - the opposite is true, and the price of a longer-term contract is lower than the price of a related one with an earlier maturity date, the pricing relationship is known as backwardation.


== See also ==
== See also ==
* [[Backwardation]]
* [[Bank]]
* [[Basel III]]
* [[Buffer]]
* [[Capital]]
* [[Capital buffer]]
* [[Countercyclical]]
* [[Countercyclical buffer]]
* [[Cyclical]]
* [[Economy]]
* [[Procyclicality]]
* [[Prudential]]
* [[Supervision]]
* [[Total Loss Absorbing Capacity]]


[[Category:Manage_risks]]
[[Category:The_business_context]]

Latest revision as of 08:48, 1 December 2023

1.

In business cycle theory and finance, any economic quantity that is positively correlated with the overall state of the economy.

Any quantity that tends to increase when the overall economy is growing.


2.

The additional amplification effects resulting from the structure of the financial system.

The performance of banks tends to be procyclical. They thrive when the economy is strong, and suffer disproportionately when the general economy is weak.

This is a problem, because it can amplify financial instability.

Basel III sought to address the problem of the procyclicality of the largest banks' capital, by requiring them to hold countercyclical capital buffers.


The opposite of procyclical is countercyclical.


See also