Forward yield

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Revision as of 17:20, 21 November 2015 by imported>Doug Williamson (Expand narrative about notation.)
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The rate of return in the market today for a notional or actual deposit or borrowing:

  1. Starting at a fixed future date; and
  2. Ending on a later fixed future date.


Example

The forward yield for the maturity 2-3 periods is 3% per period.

This is the rate payable for period 3 only - a single period - which is pre-agreed today, 2 periods before the deposit or borrowing is contracted to change hands.

This means that a mutually binding agreement can be made today, for a deposit of £1,000,000 to be made at Time 2 periods into the future, which will return:

£1,000,000 x 1.03

= £1,030,000 at Time 3 periods.


A common application of forward yields is the pricing of forward rate agreements.


The forward yield is also known as the Forward rate or (sometimes) the Forward forward rate.

(The forward forward rate is technically slightly different.)


Conversion

If we know the forward yield, we can calculate both the zero coupon yield and the par yield for the same maturities and risk class.

The conversion process and calculation stems from the 'no-arbitrage' relationship between the related yield curves.


This is illustrated on the page Converting from forward rates.


Notation

Notation varies between practitioners and contexts.

The yield conversion pages in this wiki use the following notation:


Periodic forward yields (f):

f0-1: the rate per period for the maturity starting now and ending one period in the future.

f1-2: the rate per period for the maturity starting one period in the future, and ending two periods in the future.

And so on.


Periodic zero coupon yields (z):

z0-1: the rate per period for the maturity starting now and ending one period in the future.

z0-2: the rate per period for the maturity starting now, and ending two periods in the future, with all of the rolled up compounded interest paid at the end of period 2.

And so on.


It is best always to spell out expressly what cash flow pattern, maturity and quotation basis you intend, rather than assuming or hoping that others are familiar with your particular organisation's preferred notation.


See also