Downgrade: Difference between revisions
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imported>Doug Williamson (Layout.) |
(Update for Moody's US sovereign downgrade 16 May 2025.) |
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For example, Standard & Poor re-rated Walt Disney downward in April 2020. | For example, Moody's downgraded the US sovereign credit rating by one notch from Aaa to Aa1 in May 2025. | ||
:<span style="color:#4B0082">'''''US government debt and interest payment ratios are high'''''</span> | |||
:"This one-notch downgrade on our 21-notch rating scale reflects the increase over more than a decade in government debt and interest payment ratios to levels that are significantly higher than similarly rated sovereigns. | |||
:Successive US administrations and Congress have failed to agree on measures to reverse the trend of large annual fiscal deficits and growing interest costs. | |||
:We do not believe that material multi-year reductions in mandatory spending and deficits will result from current fiscal proposals under consideration. | |||
:Over the next decade, we expect larger deficits as entitlement spending rises while government revenue remains broadly flat. | |||
:In turn, persistent, large fiscal deficits will drive the government's debt and interest burden higher. | |||
:The US' fiscal performance is likely to deteriorate relative to its own past and compared to other highly-rated sovereigns." | |||
:''Moody's Ratings downgrades United States ratings to Aa1 from Aaa - 16 May 2025.'' | |||
:<span style="color:#4B0082">'''''Concerns about US's growing $36 trillion of debt'''''</span> | |||
:"Moody's downgraded the U.S. sovereign credit rating on Friday due to concerns about the nation's growing, $36 trillion debt pile, in a move that could complicate President Donald Trump's efforts to cut taxes and send ripples through global markets. | |||
:Moody's first gave the United States its pristine "Aaa" rating in 1919 and is the last of the three major credit agencies to downgrade it... | |||
:... the administration's attempts to raise revenue and cut spending have so far failed to persuade investors. | |||
:Trump's attempts to cut spending through Elon Musk's Department of Government Efficiency have fallen far short of its initial goals. And attempts to raise revenue through tariffs have sparked concerns about a trade war and global slowdown, roiling markets. | |||
:Left unchecked, such worries could trigger a bond market rout and hinder the administration's ability to pursue its agenda. | |||
:The downgrade, which came after market close, sent yields on Treasury bonds higher..." | |||
:''Moody's cuts America's pristine credit rating, citing rising debt - Reuters - 17 May 2025.'' | |||
In another example, Standard & Poor's re-rated Walt Disney downward in April 2020. | |||
The rating was REDUCED to A-. | The rating was REDUCED to A-. | ||
| Line 17: | Line 56: | ||
== See also == | == See also == | ||
* [[Bond]] | |||
* [[Bond vigilante]] | |||
* [[Credit rating]] | * [[Credit rating]] | ||
* [[Credit risk]] | |||
* [[Default]] | |||
* [[De-listing]] | * [[De-listing]] | ||
* [[eurozone crisis]] | |||
* [[Financial distress]] | |||
* [[Firm]] | |||
* [[Fiscal]] | |||
* [[Fitch]] | |||
* [[Household]] | |||
* [[Moody's]] | |||
* [[Notch]] | * [[Notch]] | ||
* [[Private]] | |||
* [[Private sector]] | |||
* [[Recession]] | |||
* [[Rescheduling]] | |||
* [[Restructuring]] | |||
* [[Sovereign]] | |||
* [[Sovereign debt]] | |||
* [[Sovereign debt crisis]] | |||
* [[Sovereign risk]] | |||
* [[Standard & Poor's]] | |||
* [[Treasury]] | |||
* [[Trump 2.0]] | |||
* [[Trumponomics]] | |||
* [[Upgrade]] | * [[Upgrade]] | ||
* [[Yield]] | |||
==Other resources== | |||
*[https://ratings.moodys.com/ratings-news/443154 Press release - Moody's Ratings downgrades United States ratings to Aa1 from Aaa; changes outlook to stable - 16 May 2025] | |||
*[https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/moodys-downgrades-us-aa1-rating-2025-05-16/ Moody's cuts America's pristine credit rating, citing rising debt - Reuters - 17 May 2025] | |||
[[Category:Treasury_operations_infrastructure]] | |||
[[Category:Accounting,_tax_and_regulation]] | |||
[[Category:Financial_products_and_markets]] | |||
[[Category:Manage_risks]] | |||
[[Category:The_business_context]] | |||
[[Category:Treasury_operations_infrastructure]] | [[Category:Treasury_operations_infrastructure]] | ||
Revision as of 13:58, 20 May 2025
1. Credit rating.
A worsening in a credit rating assessment.
For example, Moody's downgraded the US sovereign credit rating by one notch from Aaa to Aa1 in May 2025.
- US government debt and interest payment ratios are high
- "This one-notch downgrade on our 21-notch rating scale reflects the increase over more than a decade in government debt and interest payment ratios to levels that are significantly higher than similarly rated sovereigns.
- Successive US administrations and Congress have failed to agree on measures to reverse the trend of large annual fiscal deficits and growing interest costs.
- We do not believe that material multi-year reductions in mandatory spending and deficits will result from current fiscal proposals under consideration.
- Over the next decade, we expect larger deficits as entitlement spending rises while government revenue remains broadly flat.
- In turn, persistent, large fiscal deficits will drive the government's debt and interest burden higher.
- The US' fiscal performance is likely to deteriorate relative to its own past and compared to other highly-rated sovereigns."
- Moody's Ratings downgrades United States ratings to Aa1 from Aaa - 16 May 2025.
- Concerns about US's growing $36 trillion of debt
- "Moody's downgraded the U.S. sovereign credit rating on Friday due to concerns about the nation's growing, $36 trillion debt pile, in a move that could complicate President Donald Trump's efforts to cut taxes and send ripples through global markets.
- Moody's first gave the United States its pristine "Aaa" rating in 1919 and is the last of the three major credit agencies to downgrade it...
- ... the administration's attempts to raise revenue and cut spending have so far failed to persuade investors.
- Trump's attempts to cut spending through Elon Musk's Department of Government Efficiency have fallen far short of its initial goals. And attempts to raise revenue through tariffs have sparked concerns about a trade war and global slowdown, roiling markets.
- Left unchecked, such worries could trigger a bond market rout and hinder the administration's ability to pursue its agenda.
- The downgrade, which came after market close, sent yields on Treasury bonds higher..."
- Moody's cuts America's pristine credit rating, citing rising debt - Reuters - 17 May 2025.
In another example, Standard & Poor's re-rated Walt Disney downward in April 2020.
The rating was REDUCED to A-.
This was mainly due to the effects of COVID-19 on Disney's theme parks, TV and film businesses.
2.
More generally, a worsening in any assessment including (but not necessarily) a credit assessment.
See also
- Bond
- Bond vigilante
- Credit rating
- Credit risk
- Default
- De-listing
- eurozone crisis
- Financial distress
- Firm
- Fiscal
- Fitch
- Household
- Moody's
- Notch
- Private
- Private sector
- Recession
- Rescheduling
- Restructuring
- Sovereign
- Sovereign debt
- Sovereign debt crisis
- Sovereign risk
- Standard & Poor's
- Treasury
- Trump 2.0
- Trumponomics
- Upgrade
- Yield