Downgrade: Difference between revisions
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(Update for Moody's US sovereign downgrade 16 May 2025.) |
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*[https://ratings.moodys.com/ratings-news/443154 Press release - Moody's Ratings downgrades United States ratings to Aa1 from Aaa; changes outlook to stable - 16 May 2025] | *[https://ratings.moodys.com/ratings-news/443154 Press release - Moody's Ratings downgrades United States ratings to Aa1 from Aaa; changes outlook to stable - 16 May 2025] | ||
*[https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/moodys-downgrades-us-aa1-rating-2025-05-16/ Moody's cuts America's pristine credit rating, citing rising debt - Reuters - 17 May 2025] | *[https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/moodys-downgrades-us-aa1-rating-2025-05-16/ Moody's cuts America's pristine credit rating, citing rising debt - Reuters - 17 May 2025] | ||
[[Category:Accounting,_tax_and_regulation]] | [[Category:Accounting,_tax_and_regulation]] | ||
Latest revision as of 11:07, 8 June 2025
1. Credit rating.
A worsening in a credit rating assessment.
For example, Moody's downgraded the US sovereign credit rating by one notch from Aaa to Aa1 in May 2025.
- US government debt and interest payment ratios are high
- "This one-notch downgrade on our 21-notch rating scale reflects the increase over more than a decade in government debt and interest payment ratios to levels that are significantly higher than similarly rated sovereigns.
- Successive US administrations and Congress have failed to agree on measures to reverse the trend of large annual fiscal deficits and growing interest costs.
- We do not believe that material multi-year reductions in mandatory spending and deficits will result from current fiscal proposals under consideration.
- Over the next decade, we expect larger deficits as entitlement spending rises while government revenue remains broadly flat.
- In turn, persistent, large fiscal deficits will drive the government's debt and interest burden higher.
- The US' fiscal performance is likely to deteriorate relative to its own past and compared to other highly-rated sovereigns."
- Moody's Ratings downgrades United States ratings to Aa1 from Aaa - 16 May 2025.
- Concerns about US's growing $36 trillion of debt
- "Moody's downgraded the U.S. sovereign credit rating on Friday due to concerns about the nation's growing, $36 trillion debt pile, in a move that could complicate President Donald Trump's efforts to cut taxes and send ripples through global markets.
- Moody's first gave the United States its pristine "Aaa" rating in 1919 and is the last of the three major credit agencies to downgrade it...
- ... the administration's attempts to raise revenue and cut spending have so far failed to persuade investors.
- Trump's attempts to cut spending through Elon Musk's Department of Government Efficiency have fallen far short of its initial goals. And attempts to raise revenue through tariffs have sparked concerns about a trade war and global slowdown, roiling markets.
- Left unchecked, such worries could trigger a bond market rout and hinder the administration's ability to pursue its agenda.
- The downgrade, which came after market close, sent yields on Treasury bonds higher..."
- Moody's cuts America's pristine credit rating, citing rising debt - Reuters - 17 May 2025.
In another example, Standard & Poor's re-rated Walt Disney downward in April 2020.
The rating was REDUCED to A-.
This was mainly due to the effects of COVID-19 on Disney's theme parks, TV and film businesses.
2.
More generally, a worsening in any assessment including (but not necessarily) a credit assessment.
See also
- Bond
- Bond vigilante
- Credit rating
- Credit risk
- Default
- De-listing
- eurozone crisis
- Financial distress
- Firm
- Fiscal
- Fitch
- Household
- Moody's
- Notch
- Private
- Private sector
- Rating outlook
- Recession
- Rescheduling
- Restructuring
- Sovereign
- Sovereign debt
- Sovereign debt crisis
- Sovereign risk
- Stable outlook
- Standard & Poor's
- Treasury
- Trump 2.0
- Trumponomics
- Upgrade
- Yield